Once upon a time — not too many centuries ago — farmers relied on simple tools and techniques to understand and adapt to the weather. But times and technologies changed, making it easier and easier for farmers to predict the unpredictable and adjust their farming practices accordingly.
It was more of a revolution than an evolution. Sundials made way for satellites. Weather vanes made way for detailed weather apps that update their data every day, in real time. And that data gets fed into complex digital crop-modelling platforms, which collate and interpret the input and provide a wealth of information and insight to farmers.
“We give producers the ability to make better decisions that can avoid some level of risk and help them to adopt practices and make choices that will save them money, allowing them to produce larger yield or reduce the environmental impact, based on the accessibility of data,” says US agricultural meteorologist Dennis Todey.
“We help them to know, for example, when the soil is the right temperature and when the moisture is appropriate for putting a seed in the ground, thereby reducing the risk of replant,” he continues. “We can tell them when they should expect to get into a field, or we can tell them when they should expect to be able to harvest a crop. Some of this is monitoring, but a lot of it is modelling.”
Agrometeorology has also evolved to allow for better forecasting, especially in the short term.
“Forecasts of less than a week typically have a high amount of confidence, but we still lack the ability to accurately predict a season-long forecast,” agrees northern Iowa farmer Sean Arthur. Improved radar and satellite data, better analytics, and other weather technology allow farmers like Arthur to understand the rainfall and growing conditions on any given field. This information can be accessed at any point during the growing season or evaluated at the end of the season.
“I utilize the Pioneer Seeds app on my phone, which is able to track weather by individual fields,” Arthur says. “It keeps track of total accumulation of rainfall and GDU (growing degree unit) accumulation throughout the season.”